TY - JOUR
T1 - Generalized Continuous Time Bayesian Networks as a modelling and analysis formalism for dependable systems
AU - Codetta-Raiteri, Daniele
AU - Portinale, Luigi
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2017 Elsevier Ltd
PY - 2017/11
Y1 - 2017/11
N2 - We discuss the main features of Generalized Continuous Time Bayesian Networks (GCTBN) as a dependability formalism: we resort to two specific case studies adapted from the literature, and we discuss modelling choices, analysis results and advantages with respect to other formalisms. From the modelling point of view, GTCBN allow the introduction of general probabilistic dependencies and conditional dependencies in state transition rates of system components. From the analysis point of view, any task ascribable to a posterior probability computation can be implemented, among which the computation of system unreliability, importance indices, system monitoring, prediction and diagnosis.
AB - We discuss the main features of Generalized Continuous Time Bayesian Networks (GCTBN) as a dependability formalism: we resort to two specific case studies adapted from the literature, and we discuss modelling choices, analysis results and advantages with respect to other formalisms. From the modelling point of view, GTCBN allow the introduction of general probabilistic dependencies and conditional dependencies in state transition rates of system components. From the analysis point of view, any task ascribable to a posterior probability computation can be implemented, among which the computation of system unreliability, importance indices, system monitoring, prediction and diagnosis.
KW - Diagnosis
KW - Generalized Continuous Time Bayesian Networks
KW - Probabilistic models
KW - Reliability analysis
KW - Sensitivity analysis
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85019393998&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.ress.2017.04.014
DO - 10.1016/j.ress.2017.04.014
M3 - Article
SN - 0951-8320
VL - 167
SP - 639
EP - 651
JO - Reliability Engineering and System Safety
JF - Reliability Engineering and System Safety
ER -