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Deterministic or stochastic seasonality in daily electricity prices?

Risultato della ricerca: Contributo alla conferenzaContributo in Atti di Convegno

Abstract

The paper presents analysis of the seasonality of Italian daily electricity prices. Since the correct detection of the nature, stochastic or probabilistic, of the seasonality is crucial in ARIMA modeling, a test that allows such detection is presented. The application of this test to the Italian daily prices in the years 2008-11has pointed to the presence of deterministic seasonality in the short run. Nevertheless, seasonality has decreased in the last two years as consequence of a more balanced consumption of electricity over the week.
Lingua originaleInglese
Pagine1-4
Numero di pagine4
Stato di pubblicazionePubblicato - 1 gen 2012
Evento46TH SCIENTIFIC MEETING OF THE ITALIAN STATISTICAL SOCIETY - Roma
Durata: 1 gen 2012 → …

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???event.eventtypes.event.conference???46TH SCIENTIFIC MEETING OF THE ITALIAN STATISTICAL SOCIETY
CittàRoma
Periodo1/01/12 → …

Keywords

  • Electricity prices
  • HEGY test

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